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<p style="white-space: normal;"><img src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/kFiaamOEjRian1HH0R0eUOoCeBLcQMwLwP8AhIKEgibEZWZ6Aj8JI7ctB2SCxKLuXUNfMEVnjyjE28FWL7b7WmoKQ/0" data-ratio="0.11928429423459244" data-w="" width="auto" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/kFiaamOEjRian1HH0R0eUOoCeBLcQMwLwP8AhIKEgibEZWZ6Aj8JI7ctB2SCxKLuXUNfMEVnjyjE28FWL7b7WmoKQ/0" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-family: 宋体; font-size: 18.88888931274414px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important; width: auto !important; visibility: visible !important;" /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">一、中国MRI市场的复合增长率达到29.4%<br /></p><p style="white-space: normal;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">2012年，中国MRI市场容量历史上第一次超过1000台，具有标志性意义；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">MRI市场规模从500台到1,000台，仅仅用了两年多时间；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">从2009年新医改实施至2013年，MRI市场真正经历了五年的黄金发展期；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">2年内，MRI将超越CT成为影像医疗市场销售额最大的产品线。</p><p style="white-space: normal;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">二、未来的市场发展预测</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">1. 2020年，中国MRI保有量将达到16,000台</p><p style="white-space: normal;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">a) 二级医院和一级医院主要是县医院构成（全国2800个县的县人民医院，县中医院、县妇幼保健院）。中国政府公立医院改革的主战场在县级医院，这就意味着县医院中的民营医院比例会越来越高。中国医疗科技网认为，民营医院为了和当地的优质公立医院进行竞争，硬件配置必须跟上，配置MRI的动力很足。在这样的背景下，我们对二级医院和一级医院的配置率是在合理区间；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">b) 中国医疗机构区域性差异很大，市场上就曾有乡镇卫生院配置3.0T MRI的案例。东部沿海部分乡镇卫生院和社区卫生服务中心的设备配置已经达到二甲标准，我们也认为我们给予乡镇卫生院和社区卫生服务中心0.1的配置率是一个合理的估值期间。</p><p style="white-space: normal;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">2. 市场预测</p><p style="white-space: normal;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">a) 当前MRI的市场保有量在6300台左右，故中国MRI市场要在2020年达到16,360台的保有量，有10,000台的缺口；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">b) MRI替换市场的机会3150台（当前市场保有量的一半在2020年前被替换）；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">c) 这8年MRI累计市场规模达到13,150台；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">d) 上表按照复合增长率13%简单测算；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">e) 5年内，中国MRI市场规模有望超过2000台；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">f) 2020年市场规模超过2500台；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">g) 2014~2020年，中国MRI市场复合增长率在10-15%。</p><p style="white-space: normal;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">三、MRI 细分产品线分析</p><p style="white-space: normal;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">3.0T的MRI在2012年的增长率达到惊人的33%。我们认为，MRI和>128S有相同的客户群，这个客户群的基数有望达到500家，这也决定着在未来2-3年，中国3.0T的MRI仍可以保持25%左右的市场增长；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">1.5T是市场竞争最激烈的细分产品，2013年市场增长率为16%，市场增长有所放缓，这主要是因为新政府上台第一年，对医疗的实际投入较低有关。我们认为，1.5T的客户资源数量巨大，未来增长的潜力相当高。我们预计在未来3-5年，1.5T的MRI将是大型影像医疗市场的明星产品；</p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;"><br /></p><p style="white-space: normal; line-height: 1.5em;">Open MRI在经历2012年市场快速下滑后（国家加强了对永磁的监管，市场价格快速上升），2013年小幅下跌。中国医疗科技网认为，中国Open MRI的目标客户是那些注重产品生命周期成本的客户，和目前主流客户互相攀比的风格不匹配。但低廉的运营成本可能会吸引民营医院购买Open MRI，但短期内我们看不到太多市场上涨的动能。</p><p style="white-space: normal;"><img src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/rz7R73cuHRrv6jdOCoJeZmYwvEAIoHpY0a7yJL2egiaEokLTpwkIsIRTzTFUic09aEThKHS4hrEcSqU0lAS3tu5g/0" data-ratio="0.14784394250513347" data-w="487" width="auto" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/rz7R73cuHRrv6jdOCoJeZmYwvEAIoHpY0a7yJL2egiaEokLTpwkIsIRTzTFUic09aEThKHS4hrEcSqU0lAS3tu5g/0" style="word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important; width: auto !important; visibility: visible !important;" /></p><p style="white-space: normal;"><legend style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 24px; orphans: 2; widows: 2; margin: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span class="bkcolor" style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px 8px 0px 0px; padding: 4px 10px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); background-color: rgb(191, 0, 0); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important; border-top-left-radius: 5px !important; border-top-right-radius: 5px !important; border-bottom-right-radius: 5px !important; border-bottom-left-radius: 5px !important;"></span></strong><strong style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(60, 117, 45); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(192, 0, 0); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">ID: </span></strong></span></legend></p><p style="white-space: normal;"><legend style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 24px; orphans: 2; widows: 2; margin: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(60, 117, 45); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(192, 0, 0); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"></span></strong></span></legend></p><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; max-width: 100%; word-wrap: normal; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 24px; orphans: 2; widows: 2; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">平台的理念：分享维修经验，为工程师提供技术配件支持，为临床使用者提供医疗器械使用保养维护信息，关注我们传递正能量。</span></p><p style="white-space: normal;"><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">主页回复：</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(255, 0, 0); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; font-size: 18px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">M</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"> </span></span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">有精彩内容呈上</span></p><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; max-width: 100%; word-wrap: normal; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 24px; orphans: 2; widows: 2; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; font-family: 仿宋; font-size: 19px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">微信公众号:</span></p><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; max-width: 100%; word-wrap: normal; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 24px; orphans: 2; widows: 2; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; font-family: 仿宋; font-size: 19px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"> </span><strong style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(255, 0, 0); font-size: 20px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"></span></span></strong><br style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;" /></p><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; max-width: 100%; word-wrap: normal; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 24px; orphans: 2; widows: 2; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; font-family: 仿宋; font-size: 19px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">群主微信号：</span><span style="max-width: 100%; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 16px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"> </span></p><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; max-width: 100%; word-wrap: normal; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 24px; orphans: 2; widows: 2; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; font-size: 20px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"> shanying916</span></strong></p><fieldset class="brcolor" style="white-space: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 5px; border: 1px solid rgb(0, 187, 236); max-width: 100%; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: 微软雅黑; line-height: 24px; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(248, 247, 245); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><legend style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); margin: 0px 10px; border-width: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span class="bkcolor" style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 5px 10px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: bold; font-size: 14px; border-top-left-radius: 5px; border-top-right-radius: 5px; border-bottom-right-radius: 5px; border-bottom-left-radius: 5px; background-color: rgb(0, 187, 236); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">复制上面微信号</span><img data-s="300,640" data-ratio="1.35" data-w="20" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/A1DicCH9Vl6NE8iaIXiblrE1WKyXQz6qbATAS0VZxTKlGupjMMNvicoNs9vhvYGBr83wmsdO1ouTw7kVDibk9w6VoMg/0" class="" id="c6" width="auto" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/A1DicCH9Vl6NE8iaIXiblrE1WKyXQz6qbATAS0VZxTKlGupjMMNvicoNs9vhvYGBr83wmsdO1ouTw7kVDibk9w6VoMg/640" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important; visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;" /><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">联系我哟</span></span></legend><blockquote style="padding: 0px; border: 0px; max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; max-width: 100%; word-wrap: normal; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; padding: 0px; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 192, 0); font-size: 14px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"></span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(255, 192, 0); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 14px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">? </span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 28px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">定期推送</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(255, 192, 0); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 28px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">医械资讯</span><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 28px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">，</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(0, 176, 80); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">厂家推介</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">，</span><span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(112, 48, 160); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">维修知识</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">，</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(0, 176, 240); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">产品知识</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">，</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(146, 208, 80); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">医疗器械相关</span></span></span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">等诸多优质内容，</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">最接地气</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">、</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">重价值</span><span style="max-width: 100%; color: rgb(127, 127, 127); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">的医疗器械微信平台！关注我们妥妥没错，<span style="max-width: 100%; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important;">推广合作联系我呦</span>！</span></span></p></blockquote></fieldset><p style="white-space: normal;"><img data-s="300,640" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/A1DicCH9Vl6MYAEPWTib8tjxcvx0icbN5kq6PvfS6PHyKaMRwicKyXRpyaPRoHgn3OOr1vBKYm6b9vtYp87hJM8nXw/0" data-ratio="0.7835365853658537" data-w="328" width="auto" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/A1DicCH9Vl6MYAEPWTib8tjxcvx0icbN5kq6PvfS6PHyKaMRwicKyXRpyaPRoHgn3OOr1vBKYm6b9vtYp87hJM8nXw/640" style="word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box !important; width: auto !important; visibility: visible !important;" /></p>
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发表于 2020-10-21 13:44:32