钟南山：2月中下旬全国病例数将达到峰值，不等于“拐点”

admin · 发表于 2020-10-14 12:55:21

                  <section data-role="paragraph" data-color="rgb(182, 228, 253)" data-custom="rgb(182, 228, 253)"><section><section><section><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><section><section><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><section><section><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><section><section><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><section><section><section><p><p><img src="image/20201014/86b79d371e9862b01189f0252a03b2cd_1.png" /></p></p></section><section><section><span><strong></strong></span></section><p><span>医疗器械媒体报道先锋</span></p><p><span>分享专业医疗器械知识</span></p></section><section><section><section><span>关注</span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><p><br  /></p><p><span>来源：</span><span>经济日报、南方+</span></p><p><br  /></p><section data-tools="新媒体排版" data-id="2944609" data-style-type="undefined"><section data-tools="新媒体排版" data-id="2819657" data-style-type="undefined"><section><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><section><section><section><video width="100%" height="580" controls="controls"><source src="http://mpvideo.qpic.cn/0bf2umaa2aaazuajilskjrpfbi6dbwrqadia.f10003.mp4?dis_k=a77272e34cf379951411c694987e2cc5&dis_t=1602651320" type="video/mp4"></source></video><br  /></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><p><br  /></p><section><span>2月17日下午，国家呼吸系统疾病临床医学研究中心主任、中国工程院院士钟南山在广州医科大学附属第一医院与武汉前方的广东医疗队ICU治疗团队再次开展远程视频会诊，讨论疑难病例的治疗策略，同时就全国疫情发展趋势、危重症救治发表看法。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section data-tools="新媒体排版" data-id="2885005" data-style-type="undefined"><section data-style-type="5" data-tools="新媒体排版" data-id="2641627"><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><section><section><section><strong><span></span></strong></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><p><em><strong>谈疫情发展：武汉仍未完全制止人传人</strong></em></p></section></section></section></section></section><section data-tools="新媒体排版" data-id="2885005" data-style-type="undefined"><section><section><section><section><br  /></section></section></section></section></section><section><span>2月17日，国家卫生健康委发布数据显示，除湖北外，全国新增确诊病总数已连续13天下降。</span><span>钟南山认为，这表明我国采取的强有力干预措施已经取得明显效果。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>钟南山介绍，其团队建立的数学模型将国家强有力干预措施和春节后务工人员返程高峰两个变量纳入考量，这两个变量将改变疾病的自然发展规律。</span><span>根据该模型预计，2月中下旬全国病例数将达到峰值，但并不意味着达到峰值后马上下降。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>“目前是否已经达到峰值还不确定，还需要再观察几天。</span><span>”钟南山说，峰值不等于“拐点”，疫情还有可能随着务工人员返程再次出现新的高峰。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>但是钟南山也表示，主要大中城市都采取了强有力的措施做好出入人员的检查，因此返程带来新的疫情高峰的可能性不大。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>在谈到武汉疫情防控时，钟南山表示，武汉仍处于高患病率和高病死率，病人总数占全国80%，病死率占全国95%以上，因此全国都对武汉进行支持。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>钟南山指出，虽然做了很大努力，但是武汉还是没有完全阻止人传人。</span><span>方舱医院的建设对控制人传人很有效果，同时武汉正在加快排查疑似病例，这些举措都对全国的疫情防控有着积极影响。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>“我们全力以赴开展两个监测，一是将新冠病毒与流感病毒分开，二是增加对核酸检测精密度的补充，开展IgM抗体检测。</span><span>”钟南山说，目前团队正在研发IgM抗体检测试剂，成果预计很快公布，公布后将首先对武汉进行支援。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section data-tools="新媒体排版" data-id="2885005" data-style-type="undefined"><section data-style-type="5" data-tools="新媒体排版" data-id="2641627"><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><section><section><section><section><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><section powered-by="gulangu"><section><p><em><strong>谈重症救治：将发布中药研究成果</strong></em></p></section></section></section></section></section><section><br  /></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section><span>随着疫情发展，重症救治被摆在更加重要的位置。</span><span>国家卫健委要求，要把提高收治率治愈率、降低感染率病死率作为重中之重。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>钟南山说，目前重症救治确实存在一定困难，特别是危重症病人救治难度相较“非典”时期更大。</span><span>“针对重症救治，目前我们正在寻找更多有效的药物、探索新的方法。</span><span>”钟南山透露，将在2月18日广东省新闻发布会上发布近期中药用于治疗新冠肺炎的最新结果。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>新冠肺炎重症救治的主要困难在于病情有着不同的发展规律，随着危重症的发展，病毒会持续损伤肺部，包括对肺实质的损伤、肺的分泌粘液阻碍气道通畅等。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>相较全国其他地方，武汉病死率较高。</span><span>钟南山认为，这与初期病人重复互相感染、感染病例增速较快有关，医护人员无法在早期对病人进行氧疗等适当治疗，病情发展到终末期才进入重症病房，导致病死率高。</span></section><section><br  /></section><section><span>钟南山指出，随着全国早预防、早发现、早隔离措施更加深入，武汉的“封堵”措施更加到位，再加上来自全国的对湖北和武汉在人员、物资等方面的支持，相信情况将有所好转。</span></section><p><br  /></p><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by gulangu"><section data-role="paragraph" data-color="#757576"><section data-role="paragraph"><section><section><section 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